Climate and Fisheries
Evaluating robustness of harvest control rules to climate-driven variability in Pacific sardine recruitment (Wildermuth et al., Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 2023) [link] [press release]
Catch as catch can: markets, availability, and fishery closures drive distinct responses among the U.S. West Coast coastal pelagic species fleet segments (Quezada et al., Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 2023) [link]
Projecting climate change impacts from physics to fisheries: A view from three California Current fisheries (Smith et al., Progress in Oceanography, 2023) [link]
Projected shifts in 21st century sardine distribution and catch in the California Current (Fiechter et al., Frontiers in Marine Science, 2021) [link]
A case study in connecting fisheries management challenges with models and analysis to support ecosystem-based management in the California Current Ecosystem (Tommasi et al., Frontiers in Marine Science, 2021) [link]
Management Strategy Evaluation: Allowing the light on the hill to illuminate more than one species (Kaplan et al., Frontiers in Marine Science, 2021) [link]
The potential impact of a shifting Pacific sardine distribution on U.S. West Coast landings (Smith et al., Fisheries Oceanography, 2021) [pdf] [Research Highlight]
Comparing dynamic and static time-area closures for bycatch mitigation: a management strategy evaluation of a swordfish fishery (Smith et al., Frontiers in Marine Science, 2021) [pdf]
Changes to the structure and function of an albacore fishery reveal shifting social-ecological realities for Pacific Northwest fishermen (Frawley et al., Fish and Fisheries, 2021) [pdf] [Research Highlight]
Lost opportunity: Quantifying the dynamic economic impact of time-area fishery closures (Smith et al., Journal of Applied Ecology, 2020) [pdf]
Ocean Physics and Biogeochemistry
Projected novelty in the climate envelope of the California Current at multiple spatial-temporal scales (Smith et al., PLOS Climate, 2022) [link]
A dynamically downscaled ensemble of future projections for the California Current System (Pozo Buil et al., Frontiers in Marine Science, 2021) [pdf]
Role of geostrophic currents in future changes of coastal upwelling in the California Current System (Ding et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 2021) [pdf]
Thermal displacement by marine heatwaves (Jacox et al., Nature, 2020) [pdf] [Research Highlight]
Drivers of subsurface deoxygenation in the southern California Current System (Evans et al., Geophysical Research Letters, 2020) [pdf]
Marine heatwaves in a changing climate (Jacox, Nature, 2020) [pdf]
Biogeochemical drivers of changing hypoxia in the California Current Ecosystem (Dussin et al., Deep Sea Research Part II, 2019) [pdf]
Species Distribution Modeling and Dynamic Ocean Management
Exploring timescales of predictability in species distributions (Brodie et al., Ecography, 2021) [pdf]
Predictability of species distributions deteriorates under novel environmental conditions in the California Current System (Muhling et al., Frontiers in Marine Science, 2020) [pdf]
Decision support tools for dynamic management (Welch et al., Conservation Biology, 2019) [pdf]
Dynamic habitat use of albacore and their primary prey species in the California Current System (Muhling et al., CalCOFI Reports, 2019) [pdf]
A dynamic ocean management tool to reduce by catch and support sustainable fisheries (Hazen et al., Science Advances, 2018) [pdf]
Integrating dynamic subsurface habitat metrics into species distribution models (Brodie et al., Frontiers in Marine Science, 2018) [pdf]
Practical considerations for operationalizing dynamic management tools (Welch et al., Journal of Applied Ecology, 2018) [pdf]
Coupled Mechanistic Modeling
Using a climate-to-fishery model to simulate the influence of the 1976-1977 regime shift on anchovy and sardine in the California Current System (Nishikawa et al., Progress in Earth and Planetary Science, 2019) [pdf]
Climate variability and sardine recruitment in the California Current: A mechanistic analysis of an ecosystem model (Politikos et al., Fisheries Oceanography, 2018) [pdf]
Ocean Observing
Future ocean observations to connect climate, fisheries, and marine ecosystems (Schmidt et al., Frontiers in Marine Science, 2019) [pdf]
Observational needs supporting marine ecosystem modeling and forecasting: From the global ocean to regional and coastal systems (Capotondi et al., Frontiers in Marine Science, 2019) [pdf]
Marine top predators as climate and ecosystem sentinels (Hazen et al., Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution, 2019) [pdf]
Current status of the Future Seas project [Jacox et al., 2020]
A dynamically downscaled ensemble of future climate projections for the California Current System [Pozo Buil et al., 2020]
Climate-to-fish projections for Pacific sardine off the US west coast [Fiechter et al., 2020]
The potential impact of a shifting Pacific sardine distribution on US west coast landings [Smith et al., 2020]
Pacific sardine projections under environmental drivers and ecological uncertainty [Koenigstein et al., 2020]
Changes to the structure and function of an albacore fishery reveal shifting social-ecological realities for Pacific Northwest fishermen [Frawley et al., 2020]
Spatio-temporal changes in albacore landings in west coast ports [Tommasi et al., 2020]
Species distribution modeling for albacore and their prey in the California Current System [Muhling et al., 2019]
Socio-economic considerations for the Future Seas project [Himes-Cornell et al., 2019]
A simulation comparing dynamic and static closures in a drift gillnet swordfish fishery [Smith et al., 2019]
An overview of the Future Seas project [Jacox et al., 2019]
Report from the Future Seas Stakeholder Engagement Workshop, November 2022 [Quezada et al., 2023]
Report from the March 2018 Future Seas Management Strategy Evaluation (MSE) Stakeholder Engagement Workshop [Tommasi et al., 2018]
Report from the October 2018 workshop on “Advancing CPS management strategy evaluation (MSE) in the California Current” [Tommasi et al., 2018]